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Mistra (Est) vs Viljandi (Est) Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 15-11-2026
Nov 1513:00
28 : 24
Match Prediction
Expected score: Mistra (Est) 25-26 Viljandi (Est)
Mistra (Est)DrawViljandi (Est)
Mistra hosts Viljandi in a Baltic League encounter on 15 November, with both sides looking to climb the standings. Mistra sits fifth with 4 points from four games, while Viljandi occupies third with 6 points. The visitors hold a one-point advantage and arrive as narrow favourites in a match that the market expects to be closely contested.
Team form
Mistra (Est)
Mistra's recent record is mixed. They won back-to-back Baltic League fixtures in October against ASK/MSG (29-28) and Tenax Dobele (29-24), but have since suffered three defeats. Two losses came in European Cup play against BK-46 (24-29 and 22-28), while a heavy 20-33 reverse at Sviesa in late September highlighted their vulnerability on the road. Across their last five outings, Mistra have averaged 24.8 goals scored and 28.4 conceded—a concerning defensive trend that suggests they are being outshot by opponents.
Viljandi (Est)
Viljandi's form is more consistent. They won two Baltic League matches in late September and early October, including a narrow 21-20 victory at Sviesa. However, they have since recorded three consecutive losses: a 29-30 defeat to Dragunas Klaipeda, and two Meistriliiga reverses to Polva Serviti (27-29) and Tapa (22-24). Despite the recent stumble, Viljandi's underlying metrics are sound—they have scored 26.0 goals per game and conceded 25.8 over their last five matches, indicating a well-balanced attack and defence.
Head-to-head
No head-to-head history is available between these sides.
Key factors
The critical difference lies in defensive solidity. Viljandi's concession rate of 25.8 goals per game compares favourably to Mistra's 28.4, suggesting the visitors are better equipped to limit scoring opportunities. Mistra's home advantage is offset by their recent form—they have won only two of four league games. Viljandi's consistency in goal output (26.0 per game) gives them an attacking platform, while Mistra's 24.8 average indicates a slightly less potent threat. The match is expected to be tight; both sides are capable of scoring in the mid-20s range, and the predicted scoreline of 25-26 reflects a narrow margin. Viljandi's superior league position and more stable recent performances provide marginal edge, though Mistra's home setting and recent domestic wins cannot be dismissed.
Prediction
The market favours Viljandi by a slim margin. Their better defensive record and more consistent form across the last five games justify the slight preference, despite Mistra's home advantage. The narrow confidence level reflects the closeness of the matchup—both sides are evenly matched in attacking output, and a draw remains a realistic outcome. Viljandi's third-place standing and Mistra's fifth-place position align with the away-win assessment, though the gap between the sides is marginal.
Viljandi are marginally more likely to secure victory, but this is a closely balanced contest. The market rates the visitors as slight favourites, and their superior defensive metrics and league position support that view. However, Mistra's home ground and recent domestic form mean the outcome is far from certain. A low-scoring affair is probable, with both teams likely to find the net.
Match info
Tournaments:
Baltic League(2026)
Type
Cup
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Mistra (Est)
W
W
L
L
W
Viljandi (Est)
L
L
L
W
W
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dragunas Klaipeda | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 |  Polva Serviti | 6 | 5 | 1 | 10 |
| 3 |  Viljandi | 6 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 |  Mistra | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 |  Cocks | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 6 |  Sviesa | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 |  Tenax Dobele | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 8 |  ASK/MSG | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| 1 |  Tapa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Granitas-Karys | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 |  Pieno zvaigzdes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 4 |  HK Ogre/RSU | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 5 |  Vilnius | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
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