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Tapa (Est) vs Vilnius (Ltu) Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 15-11-2026
Nov 1512:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Tapa (Est) 31-28 Vilnius (Ltu)
Tapa (Est)DrawVilnius (Ltu)
Tapa hosts Vilnius in the Baltic League on 15 November in a contest between two sides still finding their feet in the competition. Tapa sits third after one match, while Vilnius occupies fourth place with a loss already on the board. Both teams are early in their Baltic League campaigns, making this a fixture with considerable bearing on the group standings.
Team form
Tapa (Est)
Tapa's recent record is mixed. They won 24–22 at home against Viljandi on 11 November but have struggled in their domestic Meistriliiga, losing to Kehra (24–28) and suffering a heavy defeat to Polva Serviti (22–36). Over their last five outings across both competitions, they have scored 26.0 goals per game but conceded 27.0, a concerning defensive trend. Their one Baltic League appearance saw them beat Pieno zvaigzdes 26–25, a narrow victory that hints at competitive quality but also defensive fragility.
Vilnius (Ltu)
Vilnius's form is erratic and their defensive record alarming. They won 32–31 away at Varenos on 11 November but have lost three of their last five matches in the Lietuvos Lyga. Most troubling is their concession rate: 34.6 goals per game over five matches, with heavy defeats to Dragunas Klaipeda (32–41 and 31–39). Offensively they average 31.2 goals per game, suggesting an attacking intent that has not translated into consistent results. Their sole Baltic League outing ended in defeat.
Head-to-head
No head-to-head record exists between these sides.
Key factors
Tapa's home advantage is material in the Baltic League context. Vilnius's defensive vulnerability—conceding 34.6 goals per game—is the standout concern and will invite Tapa's attacking focus. Tapa's own defence has been leaky, but Vilnius's offensive output (31.2 per game) suggests they will test it. Both teams are low on confidence in their respective domestic leagues, though Vilnius's recent away win at Varenos shows they can perform under pressure. The absence of any prior meetings means neither side has tactical history to draw upon.
Prediction
Tapa are marginal favourites, supported by their home venue and a slightly better recent record in the Baltic League itself. Vilnius's defensive frailty creates an opening for Tapa's attack, though Tapa's own defensive issues mean this is unlikely to be a one-sided affair. Vilnius's attacking capability means they will score, and their recent away victory suggests they are not without resource. The expected goal balance slightly favours the hosts, but the margin is narrow and reflects the competitive uncertainty that surrounds both teams at this early stage of the competition.
Tapa are the favourite to win, but this is a close contest. Neither side has demonstrated the consistency or defensive solidity to inspire confidence in a decisive outcome. Expect a high-scoring game in which both attacks will have opportunities; the hosts' home advantage tips the balance in their favour, but Vilnius should not be discounted given their attacking threat and recent away form.
Match info
Tournaments:
Baltic League(2026)
Type
Cup
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Tapa
W
L
L
W
W
Vilnius
L
W
L
W
L
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dragunas Klaipeda | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 2 |  Polva Serviti | 5 | 4 | 1 | 8 |
| 3 |  Viljandi | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 |  Cocks | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 5 |  Sviesa | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 |  Mistra | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 |  Tenax Dobele | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 8 |  ASK/MSG | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 1 |  Tapa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 |  Granitas-Karys | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 |  Pieno zvaigzdes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 4 |  HK Ogre/RSU | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 5 |  Vilnius | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
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