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Toulouse vs St. Raphael Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 16-10-2026
Oct 1618:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Toulouse 4-5 St. Raphael
ToulouseDrawSt. Raphael
In a pivotal Starligue matchup, Toulouse will host St. Raphael on October 16, 2026. Both teams are currently tied on points at the bottom of the table, making this encounter critical for their campaign moving forward.
Team form
Toulouse
Toulouse's recent performance has been inconsistent, with only two wins from their last five matches. They achieved a close victory against Chartres and a narrowly won match against Nantes but suffered losses against PSG and Selestat. This reflects a scoring average of 28.6 goals per match while conceding an average of 28.0, indicating they are capable in attack but need to tighten their defense.
St. Raphael
St. Raphael presents a similarly variable outing in recent weeks. They secured a significant win against Cesson Rennes-Metropole but faced a series of defeats against Elverum, Caen, Nexe, and Saran, demonstrating their struggles in maintaining consistent form. With an average of 29.4 goals scored and a concerning 32.4 goals conceded per game, their defensive vulnerabilities are evident and could be a point of exploitation for Toulouse.
Head-to-head
Historically, the teams have not played against each other recently, giving little insight into potential tactical battles for fans following the Starligue.
Key factors
One of the significant considerations heading into this match is the need for both teams to solidify their defensive strategies. Toulouse could lean on their home advantage to exploit St. Raphael's defensive gaps while managing their own weaknesses. Additionally, individual performances from key players in attack will prove crucial in shifting the momentum of the match. Each team's capacity to adapt tactically in real time will also heavily influence the outcome.
Prediction
Given both teams sit in the lower part of the league with equivalent points, the match is expected to be competitive. St. Raphael's slight edge may come from their recent offensive display against Cesson, contrasting with Toulouse's inconsistency. The predicted distribution of goals suggests a fairly balanced contest that could see either team emerge victorious, leaning slightly towards an away win outcome based on current form and overall scoring capabilities.
I foresee an away win for St. Raphael in this crucial Starligue clash.
Match info
Tournaments:
Starligue(2026)
Type
League
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Toulouse
L
W
W
W
L
St. Raphael
W
L
L
L
L
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSG | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 |  Nantes | 6 | 5 | 1 | 10 |
| 3 |  Montpellier | 6 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
| 4 |  Limoges | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 |  Nimes | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 |  Tremblay | 6 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 |  Provence Aix | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 |  Caen | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 |  Saran | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 |  Chartres | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 11 |  Selestat | 6 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 |  St. Raphael | 6 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 |  Chambery Savoie | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Toulouse | 6 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 15 |  Cesson Rennes-Metropole | 6 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| 16 |  Dunkerque | 6 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
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