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Expected score: Tumba 32-31 Aranas
Tumba host Aranas in Allsvenskan on 17 October in a meeting between two sides locked in the lower reaches of the table. Both teams sit on 3 points from four games, with identical records of one win, one draw and two losses. This is a direct contest between sides struggling to build momentum in the Swedish top flight.
Team form
Tumba
Tumba's recent record reads one win in five outings. They beat Huddinge 30-25 at home on 4 October, but that victory is sandwiched between defeats. Most recently they lost 33-45 away at Torslanda on 11 October, conceding 45 goals in a heavy defeat. Over their last five matches, Tumba have scored 148 goals and conceded 166, averaging 29.6 per game for and 33.2 against. The pattern suggests defensive fragility; they have conceded 45, 37, 28 and 31 goals in four of those five outings.
Aranas
Aranas arrive on the back of a 30-34 loss at Lund on 10 October, extending their winless run to four games. Their sole victory in five came against Torslanda at home on 25 September, a 34-31 win. They have also drawn once, 32-32 at Varberg on 19 September. Over five matches, Aranas have scored 152 goals and conceded 162, averaging 30.4 for and 32.4 against. Like Tumba, they show defensive inconsistency, though their scoring output has been marginally more consistent.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings between these sides are on record.
Key factors
Both teams are leaking goals at similar rates and neither has established defensive stability. Tumba's home advantage is modest given their recent form; they lost 26-28 at home to Guif on 20 September before beating Huddinge. Aranas have won only once in five, but that victory came away from home. The fixture hinges on which defence can tighten; both have conceded in the low 30s per game. Tumba's recent 45-goal concession suggests particular vulnerability, though a single outlier can skew averages. Aranas' scoring consistency may offer a slight edge in a tight contest, but neither side has demonstrated the defensive organisation to control the game.
Prediction
The model rates this as a tight affair with Tumba holding a narrow edge at home. Both teams average around 30 goals per game and concede in similar volume. The predicted scoreline of 32-31 reflects the expected offensive output and defensive fragility on both sides. Tumba's home status provides marginal advantage, but the gap between them is minimal given their identical league position and recent form. The low draw probability reflects the slight separation in quality rather than a clear-cut contest.
Tumba are slight favourites to take the points, but this is a closely matched pairing. Both sides are capable of scoring freely and vulnerable to conceding. For fantasy purposes, expect an open game with goals at both ends. Neither defence inspires confidence, making attacking assets from both teams viable selections. The narrow margin between the sides suggests caution against heavy backing of either team.
Match info
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Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | |
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |
| 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |
| 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 14 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
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Tumba vs Aranas - Handball Prediction & Betting Tips
Specialized Tumba vs Aranas handball prediction on 365sport.tv evaluates goal-average records, home/away performance splits and defensive organization. Our model analyzes scoring efficiency, goalkeeper save percentages, wing attack success rates and home-court performance advantages for accurate market predictions.
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