Tumba vs Aranas Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 17-10-2026

Oct 1713:00
Tumba

Not Started

Aranas
Match Prediction

Expected score: Tumba 32-31 Aranas

51%
44%
TumbaDrawAranas

Tumba host Aranas in Allsvenskan on 17 October in a meeting between two sides locked in the lower reaches of the table. Both teams sit on 3 points from four games, with identical records of one win, one draw and two losses. This is a direct contest between sides struggling to build momentum in the Swedish top flight.

Team form

Tumba

Tumba's recent record reads one win in five outings. They beat Huddinge 30-25 at home on 4 October, but that victory is sandwiched between defeats. Most recently they lost 33-45 away at Torslanda on 11 October, conceding 45 goals in a heavy defeat. Over their last five matches, Tumba have scored 148 goals and conceded 166, averaging 29.6 per game for and 33.2 against. The pattern suggests defensive fragility; they have conceded 45, 37, 28 and 31 goals in four of those five outings.

Aranas

Aranas arrive on the back of a 30-34 loss at Lund on 10 October, extending their winless run to four games. Their sole victory in five came against Torslanda at home on 25 September, a 34-31 win. They have also drawn once, 32-32 at Varberg on 19 September. Over five matches, Aranas have scored 152 goals and conceded 162, averaging 30.4 for and 32.4 against. Like Tumba, they show defensive inconsistency, though their scoring output has been marginally more consistent.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings between these sides are on record.

Key factors

Both teams are leaking goals at similar rates and neither has established defensive stability. Tumba's home advantage is modest given their recent form; they lost 26-28 at home to Guif on 20 September before beating Huddinge. Aranas have won only once in five, but that victory came away from home. The fixture hinges on which defence can tighten; both have conceded in the low 30s per game. Tumba's recent 45-goal concession suggests particular vulnerability, though a single outlier can skew averages. Aranas' scoring consistency may offer a slight edge in a tight contest, but neither side has demonstrated the defensive organisation to control the game.

Prediction

The model rates this as a tight affair with Tumba holding a narrow edge at home. Both teams average around 30 goals per game and concede in similar volume. The predicted scoreline of 32-31 reflects the expected offensive output and defensive fragility on both sides. Tumba's home status provides marginal advantage, but the gap between them is minimal given their identical league position and recent form. The low draw probability reflects the slight separation in quality rather than a clear-cut contest.

Tumba are slight favourites to take the points, but this is a closely matched pairing. Both sides are capable of scoring freely and vulnerable to conceding. For fantasy purposes, expect an open game with goals at both ends. Neither defence inspires confidence, making attacking assets from both teams viable selections. The narrow margin between the sides suggests caution against heavy backing of either team.

Match info

Tournaments:

Type

League

Statistics

Odds Comparison

Recent Form

Tumba
L
W
D
L
L
Aranas
L
L
W
D
L

Standings

#TeamMPWLPTS
1
IFK Ystads
4408
2
Guif
4307
3
Lund
4316
4
Kungalvs HK
4215
5
Drott
4215
6
Kroppskultur
4215
7
Redbergslids
4224
8
Aranas
4123
9
Tumba
4123
10
Torslanda
4132
11
Vasteras Irsta HF
3122
12
Tyreso
3122
13
Varberg
4022
14
Huddinge
4040
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