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Aguas Santas vs Sporting Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 18-10-2026
Oct 1813:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Aguas Santas 29-33 Sporting
Aguas SantasDrawSporting
Aguas Santas host Sporting in Andebol 1 on 18 October, a fixture that pits the league's eighth-placed side against its unbeaten leader. Sporting arrive with a perfect 7-0 record and 21 points, while Aguas Santas sit on 13 points from seven games with three wins and four losses. The gap in the standings reflects a substantial difference in current trajectory.
Team form
Aguas Santas
Aguas Santas have won two of their last five league matches but remain inconsistent. They beat Carvalhos 31-23 and Belenenses 31-28, yet lost to Vitoria SC 29-33, Maritimo 27-29, and Benfica 23-34. Over this five-game stretch they scored 28.2 goals per game while conceding 29.4, indicating a defence under pressure. Their recent away loss to Vitoria SC (29-33) is particularly telling—they managed only 29 goals against a mid-table opponent.
Sporting
Sporting's form extends beyond the league. They won 46-23 at home against Avanca and 37-25 against Santo Tirso in Andebol 1, establishing a scoring average of 38.2 goals per game across their last five outings. Their Champions League victory over GOG (43-33) underscores their attacking potency. Even in defeats—a 34-39 loss to Barcelona in the Supercopa Iberica—they demonstrated offensive capability. Conceding 29.8 per game, they have proven defensively solid while maintaining elite attacking output.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings between these sides are recorded in the available data.
Key factors
The decisive factor is offensive output. Sporting average 38.2 goals per game in their last five matches; Aguas Santas average 28.2. That 10-goal-per-game gap is substantial and reflects Sporting's superiority in both creation and execution. Aguas Santas' defence has conceded 29.4 goals per game recently, a rate that invites a team of Sporting's calibre to exploit gaps. Conversely, Aguas Santas' attack has struggled to maintain consistency, and facing Sporting's defensive discipline—which has conceded only 29.8 per game despite playing top European opposition—presents a significant challenge. Sporting's unbeaten league record and perfect 7-0 start suggest a side operating at a different level of control and efficiency.
Prediction
The model favours Sporting as the away winner, reflecting their superior recent form, attacking potency, and defensive stability. Aguas Santas' home advantage is offset by Sporting's consistency and the 10-goal-per-game gap in recent scoring rates. While Aguas Santas have shown they can win at home—their victories over Belenenses and Carvalhos demonstrate capability—Sporting's unbeaten record and elite attacking output make them the favourite. The predicted scoreline of 29-33 aligns with Aguas Santas' recent output and Sporting's typical performance level.
Sporting are the favourite to win. Their unbeaten league record, superior attacking average, and defensive solidity position them to control this match despite playing away. Aguas Santas will compete, but the gap in current form and consistency suggests Sporting's victory is more likely than not.
Match info
Tournaments:
Andebol 1(2026)
Type
League
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Aguas Santas
L
L
L
D
W
Sporting
W
D
W
D
W
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sporting | 7 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 2 |  Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 3 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 2 | 20 |
| 4 |  Maritimo | 7 | 6 | 1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Povoa | 8 | 5 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 |  ABC Braga | 8 | 4 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 |  Vitoria SC | 9 | 3 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 |  Belenenses | 9 | 3 | 6 | 15 |
| 9 |  Aguas Santas | 7 | 3 | 4 | 13 |
| 10 |  Avanca | 9 | 1 | 7 | 12 |
| 11 |  Santo Tirso | 9 | 1 | 8 | 11 |
| 12 |  Carvalhos | 8 | 1 | 7 | 10 |
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