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Toronto Maple Leafs vs New Jersey Devils Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 09-11-2026
Nov 900:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Toronto Maple Leafs 2-3 New Jersey Devils
Toronto Maple LeafsDrawNew Jersey Devils
Toronto hosts New Jersey in an NHL matchup where both teams arrive with mixed recent form and contrasting trajectories. The Maple Leafs sit eighth in the standings with 18 points from 14 games, while the Devils occupy sixth place with 20 points from 15 contests. This is a clash between two sides capable of scoring freely but also vulnerable at the back.
Team form
Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto's last five games tell a story of inconsistency. They beat San Jose 3-1 and Colorado 6-3, but sandwiched between and after those wins came defeats to the Islanders (1-4) and Senators (2-3), plus a narrow loss to Utah (4-5). Over the five-game stretch they scored 16 and conceded 16, averaging 3.2 goals in each column. The offence can spark on any given night, but defensive lapses have been costly.
New Jersey Devils
New Jersey arrives with a sharper defensive record. In their last five, they've scored 18 goals while allowing only 13 — a 3.6-per-game average on attack against 2.6 conceded. They beat Colorado 4-3, dismantled the Rangers 7-1, and edged Vancouver 4-1, though they fell to Washington (2-4) and Ottawa (1-4). The Devils' defence has tightened recently, and their ability to limit chances while generating their own makes them a threat on the road.
Head-to-head
No recent head-to-head record is available between these teams.
Key factors
New Jersey's defensive discipline over their last five games stands out as the critical edge. They've conceded 2.6 goals per game compared to Toronto's 3.2, suggesting they're better equipped to weather the Maple Leafs' offensive pressure. Toronto will look to exploit home ice and their proven scoring depth, but they'll need to tighten their back line — a weakness that has haunted them. The Devils' balanced approach, combining solid defence with efficient attack, gives them a structural advantage. Possession and transition play will likely decide this; whichever team controls the tempo and limits turnovers should prevail.
Prediction
The model favours New Jersey by a narrow margin. The Devils hold a slight edge in recent form, particularly on the defensive side, and their 3.6 goals-per-game average suggests they can match Toronto's firepower while being harder to break down. Toronto's home-ice advantage is real but not enough to overcome New Jersey's current defensive solidity. Both teams are capable of a high-scoring affair — the expected goals lean slightly toward the visitors — but the Devils' tighter discipline in the last five games makes them marginally more likely to emerge with the win.
This is a tight contest with New Jersey holding a narrow edge. Expect a competitive game where both sides will generate chances, but the Devils' recent defensive improvements should prove the difference in a close encounter. Back New Jersey with caution — this is not a confident pick, and Toronto's home support could easily tip the scales.
Match info
Tournaments:
NHL(2026)
Type
League
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Toronto Maple Leafs
L
W
L
L
W
New Jersey Devils
W
W
L
W
W
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota Wild | 17 | 11 | 3 | 25 |
| 2 |  Edmonton Oilers | 17 | 9 | 3 | 25 |
| 3 |  Vegas Golden Knights | 18 | 9 | 5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Utah Mammoth | 17 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Dallas Stars | 16 | 6 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 |  Colorado Avalanche | 17 | 9 | 6 | 20 |
| 7 |  Seattle Kraken | 15 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
| 8 |  Nashville Predators | 16 | 5 | 4 | 19 |
| 9 |  Anaheim Ducks | 16 | 7 | 7 | 17 |
| 10 |  St. Louis Blues | 16 | 7 | 7 | 16 |
| 11 |  Calgary Flames | 16 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| 12 |  Winnipeg Jets | 17 | 5 | 8 | 15 |
| 13 |  San Jose Sharks | 17 | 2 | 9 | 15 |
| 14 |  Los Angeles Kings | 14 | 3 | 7 | 12 |
| 15 |  Chicago Blackhawks | 17 | 3 | 12 | 9 |
| 16 |  Vancouver Canucks | 18 | 1 | 14 | 7 |
| 1 |  Carolina Hurricanes | 18 | 12 | 3 | 28 |
| 2 |  Boston Bruins | 17 | 9 | 4 | 25 |
| 3 |  Montreal Canadiens | 16 | 6 | 3 | 23 |
| 4 |  Tampa Bay Lightning | 15 | 9 | 3 | 22 |
| 5 |  New Jersey Devils | 16 | 7 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 |  Ottawa Senators | 17 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
| 7 |  Florida Panthers | 16 | 7 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 |  New York Rangers | 17 | 9 | 7 | 19 |
| 9 |  Toronto Maple Leafs | 17 | 7 | 7 | 18 |
| 10 |  Buffalo Sabres | 15 | 5 | 5 | 17 |
| 11 |  Detroit Red Wings | 17 | 5 | 7 | 17 |
| 12 |  Washington Capitals | 14 | 7 | 6 | 16 |
| 13 |  New York Islanders | 15 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
| 14 |  Columbus Blue Jackets | 14 | 2 | 7 | 14 |
| 15 |  Pittsburgh Penguins | 16 | 2 | 9 | 12 |
| 16 |  Philadelphia Flyers | 18 | 4 | 10 | 12 |
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Toronto Maple Leafs vs New Jersey Devils - Hockey Prediction & Betting Tips
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