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Expected score: TPS Turku 3-2 KalPa
TPS Turku host KalPa in a Liiga clash on 9 November 2026. The home side sit eighth in the standings with 31 points from 19 games, while KalPa occupy twelfth place on 25 points from 18 matches. The bookmaker consensus favours TPS at 1.53, implying a 65% win probability for the hosts.
Team form
TPS Turku
TPS have won three of their last five Liiga outings, including a 5-1 demolition of IFK Helsinki and a 4-2 victory over KooKoo. They also beat Jokerit 4-2 in a friendly. A 1-2 loss at Vaasan Sport is their only recent blemish. Across these five games, they scored 17 goals and conceded 9, averaging 3.4 per game offensively and 1.8 defensively. That attacking output is their calling card here.
KalPa
KalPa's form is mixed. They won three of five, including a 7-0 rout of Hameenlinna and a 5-4 road victory over KooKoo, but suffered defeats to Lukko (1-2) and Ilves (1-2) at home. Over the same five games, they posted 18 goals and 11 conceded—3.6 per game for and 2.2 against. The defensive fragility is notable; they have surrendered two or more goals in most recent outings.
Head-to-head
No head-to-head record is available for these teams.
Key factors
TPS's superior league position and recent Liiga form give them the edge, though KalPa's attacking capability—they average 3.6 goals per game recently—means they are capable of scoring. The key battle will be in transition; TPS's defence has been reasonably solid at 1.8 goals conceded per game, but KalPa's inconsistent rearguard (2.2 per game) could be exploited by the home side's prolific forwards. Home ice advantage in the Liiga is meaningful, and TPS's recent run of three wins in five Liiga matches suggests momentum on their side. KalPa will need to tighten defensively and capitalise on their chances; they have shown they can score in bunches, but leaky defending has cost them.
Prediction
The bookmaker odds reflect TPS as the favourite, and the underlying form supports it. The hosts have won more games, sit higher in the table, and have a sharper recent attacking record in league play. KalPa are dangerous offensively but have been vulnerable at the back. A competitive match is expected—both teams have demonstrated they can score—but TPS's home advantage and steadier recent trajectory make them the more likely winner. The predicted scoreline of 3-2 captures a fairly open contest with both sides finding the net.
TPS Turku are the favourite to win. Back the home side at 1.53 for a straightforward play, or explore the slightly longer odds if you expect a tight affair. The match should be entertaining, with both teams capable of creating chances, but TPS's form and position give them the edge.
Match info
Tournaments:
Type
League
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 40 | |
| 2 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 37 | |
| 3 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 36 | |
| 4 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 35 | |
| 5 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 34 | |
| 6 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 34 | |
| 7 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 33 | |
| 8 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 31 | |
| 9 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 31 | |
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 28 | |
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 27 | |
| 12 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 25 | |
| 13 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 24 | |
| 14 | 20 | 6 | 11 | 24 | |
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 19 | |
| 16 | 18 | 3 | 10 | 15 | |
| 17 | 20 | 2 | 15 | 10 |
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TPS Turku vs KalPa - Hockey Prediction & Betting Tips
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