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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 11-11-2026
Nov 1100:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Toronto Maple Leafs 2-3 Colorado Avalanche
Toronto Maple LeafsDrawColorado Avalanche
Toronto Maple Leafs host Colorado Avalanche in an NHL matchup on 11 November 2026. The Leafs sit 11th in the standings with 18 points from 14 games, while the Avalanche occupy 7th place with 20 points from 15 games. Both teams arrive with mixed recent form, but Colorado's offensive threat cannot be overlooked.
Team form
Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto's last five games reveal inconsistency. They scored 3 against San Jose but then managed only 1 in a loss to the Islanders. A 4-5 defeat at Utah followed before a commanding 6-3 victory over Colorado on 10 October. Most recently they fell 2-3 to Ottawa. Over this stretch they averaged 3.2 goals for and 3.2 against—a balanced but fragile record that suggests the Leafs are vulnerable to hot opponents.
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado's form is more alarming for Toronto. The Avalanche have scored 4.2 goals per game over their last five outings, including a 7-3 demolition of Calgary and a 6-1 rout of St. Louis. They did lose 3-6 to Toronto on 10 October, but they also beat Dallas 3-2 and Calgary 7-3 in their recent run. Their 3.0 goals conceded per game suggests they can be breached, but their offensive output is considerably more potent than the Leafs' at present.
Head-to-head
No head-to-head history is available for these teams. The most recent meeting was on 10 October, when Toronto won 6-3 at home—a result that offers limited predictive value given the small sample and the fact that this fixture is in Denver.
Key factors
Colorado's recent goal-scoring rate of 4.2 per game is a significant concern for a Toronto defence that has conceded 3.2 per game. The Leafs' 3.2 goals per game average may struggle against an Avalanche team that has shown it can shut down opponents—they conceded only 2 to Winnipeg and 3 to Dallas. Toronto's home advantage is real, but it is undermined by their inconsistent form and their tendency to leak goals. Colorado's mix of offensive firepower and tightening defence makes them the more complete team right now.
Prediction
The Avalanche are the favourite despite playing away. Colorado's superior recent offensive output and defensive solidity tilt the balance in their favour, even though the Leafs won the last meeting. Toronto's form has been erratic, and their defensive vulnerabilities are exposed against high-volume scorers. The model projects a close contest with Colorado edging it—a narrow margin that reflects the competitive nature of the matchup but gives the edge to the visitors' current trajectory.
Back Colorado as the more likely winner. The Avalanche's recent form, particularly their goal-scoring prowess, makes them the favourite. Toronto's inconsistency and defensive vulnerabilities work against them, despite their home ice. Expect a tight game, but Colorado's offensive threat gives them the slight edge.
Match info
Tournaments:
NHL(2026)
Type
League
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Toronto Maple Leafs
L
W
L
L
W
Colorado Avalanche
L
L
W
W
W
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota Wild | 19 | 12 | 3 | 28 |
| 2 |  Edmonton Oilers | 18 | 10 | 3 | 27 |
| 3 |  Vegas Golden Knights | 19 | 10 | 5 | 26 |
| 4 |  Dallas Stars | 17 | 7 | 5 | 22 |
| 5 |  Colorado Avalanche | 18 | 10 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 |  Nashville Predators | 17 | 6 | 4 | 21 |
| 7 |  Utah Mammoth | 18 | 8 | 7 | 21 |
| 8 |  Seattle Kraken | 16 | 6 | 6 | 19 |
| 9 |  Anaheim Ducks | 17 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 |  St. Louis Blues | 17 | 7 | 8 | 16 |
| 11 |  Calgary Flames | 17 | 7 | 9 | 15 |
| 12 |  Winnipeg Jets | 17 | 5 | 8 | 15 |
| 13 |  San Jose Sharks | 19 | 2 | 11 | 15 |
| 14 |  Los Angeles Kings | 15 | 3 | 8 | 12 |
| 15 |  Chicago Blackhawks | 18 | 3 | 13 | 9 |
| 16 |  Vancouver Canucks | 19 | 1 | 15 | 7 |
| 1 |  Carolina Hurricanes | 19 | 13 | 3 | 30 |
| 2 |  Boston Bruins | 18 | 10 | 4 | 27 |
| 3 |  Montreal Canadiens | 17 | 7 | 3 | 25 |
| 4 |  Tampa Bay Lightning | 16 | 9 | 3 | 24 |
| 5 |  New Jersey Devils | 17 | 7 | 5 | 24 |
| 6 |  Ottawa Senators | 18 | 9 | 6 | 23 |
| 7 |  New York Rangers | 18 | 10 | 7 | 21 |
| 8 |  Florida Panthers | 18 | 7 | 7 | 20 |
| 9 |  Buffalo Sabres | 17 | 6 | 6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Washington Capitals | 15 | 8 | 6 | 18 |
| 11 |  Toronto Maple Leafs | 18 | 7 | 8 | 18 |
| 12 |  New York Islanders | 16 | 5 | 6 | 17 |
| 13 |  Detroit Red Wings | 18 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
| 14 |  Columbus Blue Jackets | 15 | 2 | 8 | 14 |
| 15 |  Pittsburgh Penguins | 17 | 3 | 9 | 14 |
| 16 |  Philadelphia Flyers | 18 | 4 | 10 | 12 |
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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche - Hockey Prediction & Betting Tips
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