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HV 71 vs Luleå Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 12-11-2026
Nov 1218:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: HV 71 3-2 Luleå
HV 71DrawLuleå
HV 71 host Luleå in a Swedish SHL clash that pits a struggling home side against visitors who have shown greater consistency this season. The hosts sit 14th with just 1 win from 13 games, while Luleå occupy 7th place with a 5-5 record. Both teams arrive in poor recent form, but the visitors' superior league position and slightly better goal-scoring record give them a marginal edge in the bookmakers' eyes—though this remains a tightly contested affair.
Team form
HV 71
HV 71 have endured a difficult campaign, winning just once in their opening 13 matches. Over their last five outings, they have scored 11 goals but conceded 20, averaging 2.2 goals for and 4.0 against per game. Their sole recent victory came against Brynas (3-2) on 10 October, but they have since lost to Frölunda (2-6), Rögle (3-4), and Färjestads (1-3). Most recently, they fell to Luleå themselves 2-5 on 17 October. The pattern reveals a defence under significant pressure and an attack that struggles for consistency.
Luleå
Luleå's recent record is equally concerning despite their superior league standing. They have won just twice in their last five games, both victories coming against lower-tier opposition or in friendlies. In SHL play over this stretch, they lost to Skellefteå (1-6), Brynas (2-4), and Frölunda (3-7), though they did beat Rögle 4-2. Their goal tally of 14 scored against 22 conceded (2.8 and 4.4 per game) shows a team also struggling defensively. The 5-0 demolition by Frölunda on 24 September exposed vulnerabilities that persist.
Head-to-head
These teams met just two weeks ago on 17 October, when Luleå won 5-2 at home. That result underscores Luleå's slight edge in direct competition, though both sides have deteriorated since that fixture.
Key factors
Defensive fragility dominates both teams' recent profiles. HV 71 have conceded 4.0 goals per game over five matches; Luleå 4.4. Neither side has found a reliable way to tighten their backline, which suggests a match where goals will flow. Offensively, both teams show modest output—neither averaging above 2.8 goals per game—yet the defensive vulnerabilities create space for scoring opportunities. Luleå's league position reflects their season-long consistency rather than current form; they remain the slight favourites on that basis and their recent head-to-head win. However, HV 71 play at home, a factor that typically provides tactical and psychological advantage in hockey.
Prediction
The model identifies HV 71 as a slight favourite, reflecting the home-ice advantage despite their league standing. Luleå's superior position and recent victory over this opponent are offset by the hosts' familiar surroundings and the marginal nature of the bookmaker odds (1.9 vs 1.85). Both teams' defensive struggles suggest a moderately high-scoring affair. The predicted regulation-time score of 3-2 reflects the balance between attacking opportunity and defensive vulnerability evident in both squads' recent play.
This is a closely matched contest where HV 71 hold a narrow edge at home. The bookmaker odds reflect genuine uncertainty—both sides are nearly level in the market. Expect an open game with chances at both ends, but the hosts' home advantage tips the scales marginally in their favour.
Match info
Tournaments:
SHL(2026)
Type
League
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
HV 71
L
L
L
L
L
Luleå
W
L
L
W
L
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Farjestad | 14 | 12 | 0 | 39 |
| 2 |  Frolunda | 16 | 9 | 5 | 31 |
| 3 |  Skelleftea | 13 | 8 | 2 | 28 |
| 4 |  Malmo | 13 | 6 | 3 | 23 |
| 5 |  Rogle | 14 | 6 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 |  Orebro | 13 | 6 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 |  Lulea | 13 | 5 | 5 | 18 |
| 8 |  Timra | 13 | 4 | 6 | 18 |
| 9 |  Djurgarden | 14 | 3 | 6 | 17 |
| 10 |  IF Bjorkloven | 13 | 5 | 7 | 17 |
| 11 |  Brynas | 13 | 4 | 7 | 15 |
| 12 |  Vaxjo | 14 | 4 | 8 | 15 |
| 13 |  Linkoping | 14 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| 14 |  HV 71 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 10 |
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HV 71 vs Luleå - Hockey Prediction & Betting Tips
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