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Expected score: Ottawa Senators 2-3 Colorado Avalanche
Ottawa Senators host Colorado Avalanche in an NHL matchup between two closely matched sides separated by just one point in the standings. The Senators sit sixth with 23 points from 18 games, while Colorado occupies fifth place with 22 points from the same number of fixtures. Both teams have won nine or ten games respectively, setting up a contest where the margin between them is razor-thin.
Team form
Ottawa Senators
Ottawa's recent record shows inconsistency. Over their last five games, the Senators have won three and lost two, scoring 15 goals while conceding 15—a balanced but volatile stretch. They beat New Jersey 4-1 and Philadelphia 2-1, then defeated Boston 4-1 away, but sandwiched between those victories were heavy defeats: a 7-2 loss to St. Louis and a 5-3 reverse at Detroit. The Senators average 3.0 goals per game and concede 3.0 per game across this span, indicating an attack that can produce but a defence prone to lapses.
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado enters with a more prolific offensive record. Across their last five matches, the Avalanche scored 21 goals while conceding 15, averaging 4.2 per game offensively and 3.0 defensively. They have won three of five, including a 7-3 demolition of Calgary and a 6-1 home victory over St. Louis. However, they also lost 6-3 to Toronto and 3-2 to Winnipeg, suggesting their defence, like Ottawa's, can be breached. The Avalanche's attack has shown greater potency than their hosts' in recent weeks.
Head-to-head
No head-to-head record is available between these teams in the data provided.
Key factors
Colorado's offensive output over the last five games—4.2 goals per contest—outpaces Ottawa's 3.0 per game, a meaningful difference that could prove decisive. Both teams concede at the same rate (3.0 per game), so the contest may hinge on which side's attack executes more efficiently. Ottawa's home ice offers some advantage, but the Senators' recent form includes a heavy defeat at home to St. Louis, indicating the home environment has not shielded them from poor performances. Colorado's road record in this stretch shows they can win away, though they have also lost on the road. Neither team has demonstrated the defensive solidity to comfortably contain the other.
Prediction
Colorado's superior offensive production in recent weeks—particularly their 4.2 goals per game average—gives them an edge in a contest where both defences are vulnerable. The Avalanche have shown they can score in volume and have won on the road in their last five games. Ottawa, despite home advantage, has conceded at a concerning rate and their attack, while capable, has not matched Colorado's recent potency. The data suggests a close match with Colorado as the slight favourite, though the narrow margin between the teams and the volatility both have shown means the outcome remains genuinely competitive.
Colorado Avalanche are the more likely winner, though this is a closely contested fixture. Expect a tight game where both teams will create chances; the team that converts more efficiently should prevail. Back the Avalanche as favourites, but exercise caution given the competitive nature of the matchup.
Match info
Tournaments:
Type
League
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 29 | |
| 2 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 28 | |
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 26 | |
| 4 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 22 | |
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 22 | |
| 6 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 21 | |
| 7 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 21 | |
| 8 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 21 | |
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 19 | |
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 17 | |
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 17 | |
| 12 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 17 | |
| 13 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 16 | |
| 14 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 12 | |
| 15 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 9 | |
| 16 | 20 | 1 | 16 | 7 | |
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 3 | 30 | |
| 2 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 27 | |
| 3 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 26 | |
| 4 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 25 | |
| 5 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 24 | |
| 6 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 23 | |
| 7 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 21 | |
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 20 | |
| 9 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 19 | |
| 10 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 18 | |
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 18 | |
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 18 | |
| 13 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 17 | |
| 14 | 20 | 5 | 10 | 15 | |
| 15 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 14 | |
| 16 | 18 | 3 | 10 | 14 |
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Ottawa Senators vs Colorado Avalanche - Hockey Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Ottawa Senators vs Colorado Avalanche hockey prediction on 365sport.tv analyzes power play effectiveness, penalty kill success rates and goaltending matchups. Our statistical model evaluates home-ice advantage, even-strength goal-scoring efficiency, penalty minute accumulation patterns and goalie performance metrics across different game situations.
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