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Expected score: TPS Turku 4-1 Jokerit
TPS Turku host Jokerit in a Liiga clash that looks heavily weighted toward the home side. TPS sit eighth with 31 points from 19 games, while Jokerit languish in 16th on just 15 points from 18 outings. The gap between these two teams is stark, and the recent head-to-head friendly result only reinforces it.
Team form
TPS Turku
TPS have won three of their last five Liiga matches, including a 5-1 demolition of IFK Helsinki and a 4-2 victory over KooKoo. They've scored 17 goals across those five games—3.4 per outing—though a 1-2 loss to Vaasan Sport shows they're not infallible. The attack is clicking when it matters, and the defence has held up reasonably well at 1.8 goals conceded per game over this stretch.
Jokerit
Jokerit are in freefall. They've lost all five of their most recent matches, conceding 24 goals in the process—a horrifying 4.8 per game. That includes a 0-6 hammering by Tappara and a 2-7 thrashing at Lukko. They managed only 8 goals across those five games, averaging just 1.6 per outing. The friendly loss to TPS back in August, when they fell 2-4, is a warning sign of what might come here.
Head-to-head
The only recent meeting between these sides came in a pre-season friendly on 25 August, when TPS won 4-2 at home. Jokerit offered little resistance then, and their form has deteriorated sharply since.
Key factors
TPS's offensive rhythm is the primary factor. They've found the net consistently and show no sign of slowing down. Jokerit's defence is in crisis—conceding nearly five goals per game is unsustainable at any level. The visitors have no recent evidence they can tighten up or mount a credible challenge. TPS's position in the standings reflects a team that competes; Jokerit's record suggests a side struggling to find answers. At home, TPS should have the freedom to play their game without fear.
Prediction
The model rates TPS as a strong favourite, and the underlying numbers justify that confidence. TPS average 3.4 goals per game in their recent form while conceding only 1.8; Jokerit average 1.6 goals while leaking 4.8. That gulf in both attack and defence is too wide to ignore. The friendly result showed TPS winning comfortably, and Jokerit have only gotten worse since. A home win is the clear expectation here.
Back TPS Turku to win. They should dominate this fixture. Jokerit are in no shape to compete, and TPS have the firepower and defensive stability to punish them. This is a mismatch on paper, and the ice should reflect it.
Match info
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Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 40 | |
| 2 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 37 | |
| 3 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 36 | |
| 4 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 35 | |
| 5 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 34 | |
| 6 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 34 | |
| 7 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 33 | |
| 8 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 33 | |
| 9 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 31 | |
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 28 | |
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 27 | |
| 12 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 26 | |
| 13 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 24 | |
| 14 | 20 | 6 | 11 | 24 | |
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 19 | |
| 16 | 18 | 3 | 10 | 15 | |
| 17 | 20 | 2 | 15 | 10 |
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TPS Turku vs Jokerit - Hockey Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert TPS Turku vs Jokerit hockey prediction on 365sport.tv analyzes power play effectiveness, penalty kill success rates and goaltending matchups. Our statistical model evaluates home-ice advantage, even-strength goal-scoring efficiency, penalty minute accumulation patterns and goalie performance metrics across different game situations.
Our hockey predictions incorporate power-play conversion trends, shorthand goal frequency, defensive pressure intensity and goalie fatigue factors. Compare odds and access detailed analysis of line chemistry, third-period patterns and playoff positioning implications - all data-driven insights on 365sport.tv for informed betting decisions.