TPS Turku vs Jokerit Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 13-11-2026

Nov 1316:30
TPS Turku

Not Started

Jokerit
Match Prediction

Expected score: TPS Turku 4-1 Jokerit

90%
TPS TurkuDrawJokerit

TPS Turku host Jokerit in a Liiga clash that looks heavily weighted toward the home side. TPS sit eighth with 31 points from 19 games, while Jokerit languish in 16th on just 15 points from 18 outings. The gap between these two teams is stark, and the recent head-to-head friendly result only reinforces it.

Team form

TPS Turku

TPS have won three of their last five Liiga matches, including a 5-1 demolition of IFK Helsinki and a 4-2 victory over KooKoo. They've scored 17 goals across those five games—3.4 per outing—though a 1-2 loss to Vaasan Sport shows they're not infallible. The attack is clicking when it matters, and the defence has held up reasonably well at 1.8 goals conceded per game over this stretch.

Jokerit

Jokerit are in freefall. They've lost all five of their most recent matches, conceding 24 goals in the process—a horrifying 4.8 per game. That includes a 0-6 hammering by Tappara and a 2-7 thrashing at Lukko. They managed only 8 goals across those five games, averaging just 1.6 per outing. The friendly loss to TPS back in August, when they fell 2-4, is a warning sign of what might come here.

Head-to-head

The only recent meeting between these sides came in a pre-season friendly on 25 August, when TPS won 4-2 at home. Jokerit offered little resistance then, and their form has deteriorated sharply since.

Key factors

TPS's offensive rhythm is the primary factor. They've found the net consistently and show no sign of slowing down. Jokerit's defence is in crisis—conceding nearly five goals per game is unsustainable at any level. The visitors have no recent evidence they can tighten up or mount a credible challenge. TPS's position in the standings reflects a team that competes; Jokerit's record suggests a side struggling to find answers. At home, TPS should have the freedom to play their game without fear.

Prediction

The model rates TPS as a strong favourite, and the underlying numbers justify that confidence. TPS average 3.4 goals per game in their recent form while conceding only 1.8; Jokerit average 1.6 goals while leaking 4.8. That gulf in both attack and defence is too wide to ignore. The friendly result showed TPS winning comfortably, and Jokerit have only gotten worse since. A home win is the clear expectation here.

Back TPS Turku to win. They should dominate this fixture. Jokerit are in no shape to compete, and TPS have the firepower and defensive stability to punish them. This is a mismatch on paper, and the ice should reflect it.

Match info

Tournaments:

Liiga(2026)

Type

League

Statistics

Odds Comparison

Recent Form

TPS Turku
W
L
L
L
W
Jokerit
L
L
W
L
L

Standings

#TeamMPWLPTS
1
Lukko
1911440
2
Ilves
2010637
3
Jukurit
209636
4
JYP
1710435
5
Assat
2010734
6
SaiPa
189534
7
TPS Turku
209733
8
Karpat
207533
9
Kiekko-Espoo
208731
10
Tappara
197728
11
IFK Helsinki
197727
12
KalPa
198926
13
Pelicans
177824
14
Hameenlinna
2061124
15
Vaasan Sport
1851019
16
Jokerit
1831015
17
KooKoo
2021510
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