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Expected score: Youngstown Phantoms 3-2 Cedar Rapids
Youngstown Phantoms host Cedar Rapids in a USHL matchup on 15 November 2026 that pits the sixth-placed home side against the league leaders. The Phantoms sit on 11 points from 15 games, while Cedar Rapids commands the standings with 24 points from 16 matches. On paper, the gap is stark; in practice, recent form suggests a tighter contest than the table implies.
Team form
Youngstown Phantoms
Youngstown's last five games show volatility that should concern bettors seeking a clean narrative. The Phantoms won three of five, but the losses came against Muskegon (2-5) and Des Moines (2-6), suggesting defensive frailty against stronger opponents. They scored 16 goals across the five matches—a respectable 3.2 per game—but conceded 14, averaging 2.8 against. The win over USA U18 (7-2) inflates their offensive numbers; strip that out and the picture becomes less encouraging. Most recently, they split a pair against Des Moines, winning 3-1 before losing 2-6, a result that hints at inconsistency in execution.
Cedar Rapids
Cedar Rapids arrive as league leaders but their recent record carries a warning for backers of the favourite. In five games, they won three and lost two, scoring 17 goals (3.4 per game) while conceding 16 (3.2 per game). That defensive leakage—16 goals in five matches—is not the profile of a runaway champion. Losses to Omaha (1-2) and Madison (2-6) show they are beatable. The 2-6 defeat to Madison is particularly telling: a 4-goal margin suggests lapses in concentration. Cedar Rapids' strength lies in their overall body of work this season, not in a recent hot streak.
Head-to-head
No head-to-head history exists between these teams, so direct precedent offers no guidance. Bettors must rely on current form and league standing alone.
Key factors
Youngstown's home ice provides a marginal advantage, though their record (3W 9L at 15 games) does not scream dominance. Cedar Rapids' league-leading position is built on consistency across 16 games rather than recent dominance; their last five have been uneven. Both teams average between 3.2 and 3.4 goals per game, suggesting an offensive equilibrium. The defensive picture is the deciding factor: Youngstown concedes 2.8 per game over five matches, Cedar Rapids 3.2. If the Phantoms can limit Cedar Rapids' scoring chances, they have a realistic path to victory. Conversely, Cedar Rapids' superior talent and experience should prevail if they execute their system cleanly.
Prediction
The model favours Youngstown as the home team, though the margin is narrow. Cedar Rapids' league position is more impressive than their recent form warrants, and Youngstown's home advantage tilts the odds in their favour despite their lower standing. The expected goal distribution (3.36 for Youngstown, 2.98 for Cedar Rapids) reflects a slight edge to the hosts, but the difference is marginal. This is not a confident call; both teams are capable of winning. The predicted score of 3-2 to Youngstown reflects a tight, competitive game rather than a dominant home performance.
Youngstown Phantoms are the favourite, but scepticism is warranted. Cedar Rapids remain the more talented side and have proven they belong at the top of the league. The hosts' inconsistency and Cedar Rapids' ability to score suggest a close, competitive match. Bettors should treat this as a genuine toss-up with a marginal lean toward the home team, not a strong conviction play.
Match info
Tournaments:
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Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 26 | |
| 2 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 25 | |
| 3 | 21 | 11 | 9 | 23 | |
| 4 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 22 | |
| 5 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 19 | |
| 6 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 15 | |
| 7 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 15 | |
| 8 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 11 | |
| 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 26 | |
| 2 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 21 | |
| 3 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 19 | |
| 4 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 18 | |
| 5 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 15 | |
| 6 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 15 | |
| 7 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 10 | |
| 8 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 8 |
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Youngstown Phantoms vs Cedar Rapids - Hockey Prediction & Betting Tips
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