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Assat vs TPS Turku Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 17-10-2026
Oct 1714:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Assat 2-3 TPS Turku
AssatDrawTPS Turku
Assat hosts TPS Turku in a Liiga clash that shapes up as a genuine toss-up between two sides in contrasting form. The hosts sit third in the standings with 22 points from 12 games, while TPS Turku occupy 11th with 16 points from 11 matches. Both teams arrive with recent momentum, though the underlying numbers suggest this one could go either way.
Team form
Assat
Assat's recent Liiga record is mixed—they beat Ilves 5-1 on 4 September but lost to Karpat 1-3 on 1 September. Over their last five games across all competitions, they've scored 16 goals and conceded 11—an average of 3.2 per game for and 2.2 against. The friendly fixtures show some volatility (an 8-3 win over Lukko sandwiched between defeats), but the league form has been solid. They're a side that can put the puck in the net consistently.
TPS Turku
TPS Turku have been even more prolific in recent outings, scoring 17 goals across their last five games (3.4 per game) while conceding just 9 (1.8 per game). They've won three of their last four Liiga matches, including a 5-1 demolition of IFK Helsinki and a 4-2 victory over KooKoo. Their sole recent league loss came at Vaasan Sport (1-2), but the overall trajectory is encouraging. Their defensive record over this stretch is particularly impressive.
Head-to-head
No head-to-head history is available between these teams, so we're working from recent form and league position alone.
Key factors
Assat's home advantage is real—they're the higher-ranked side and have been consistent in the league. However, TPS Turku's recent run is hard to ignore: they're averaging more goals per game (3.4 vs 3.2) and conceding fewer (1.8 vs 2.2). The visitors' defensive solidity, combined with their attacking potency, makes them a genuine threat on the road. Assat will need to maintain their intensity and avoid the kind of defensive lapses that cost them against Karpat (0-3) earlier in the season. TPS Turku's ability to score in bunches means Assat cannot afford to sit back.
Prediction
The underlying metrics are remarkably balanced. Assat's league position and home ice favour them slightly, but TPS Turku's recent form—both in goals scored and defensive discipline—is marginally superior. The expected goal tallies are nearly identical (2.63 for Assat, 2.69 for TPS Turku), reflecting a match that could realistically go either direction. Both teams are capable of scoring 3+ goals, and both have shown they can keep opponents to 2 or fewer. This is a genuine 50-50 proposition.
This match is too close to separate. The pick leans slightly toward TPS Turku, but Assat's home advantage and third-place standing make them equally viable. For fantasy purposes, both teams' offensive weapons merit consideration—expect goals at both ends and a competitive, open game. The predicted regulation score of 2-3 reflects the tight nature of the contest. Back your fantasy selections based on individual matchups and player form rather than a strong directional lean.
Match info
Tournaments:
Liiga(2026)
Type
League
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Assat
W
W
L
L
L
TPS Turku
W
L
L
W
L
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ilves | 12 | 8 | 3 | 26 |
| 2 |  Assat | 13 | 7 | 3 | 25 |
| 3 |  Jukurit | 14 | 6 | 5 | 24 |
| 4 |  JYP | 11 | 7 | 3 | 23 |
| 5 |  Karpat | 13 | 5 | 3 | 22 |
| 6 |  Lukko | 12 | 6 | 4 | 21 |
| 7 |  Kiekko-Espoo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 |  SaiPa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 |  Tappara | 11 | 5 | 4 | 19 |
| 10 |  TPS Turku | 12 | 5 | 5 | 18 |
| 11 |  Hameenlinna | 12 | 4 | 5 | 18 |
| 12 |  Pelicans | 10 | 5 | 4 | 16 |
| 13 |  IFK Helsinki | 12 | 3 | 5 | 14 |
| 14 |  KalPa | 12 | 4 | 7 | 13 |
| 15 |  Vaasan Sport | 11 | 3 | 5 | 13 |
| 16 |  Jokerit | 13 | 2 | 8 | 10 |
| 17 |  KooKoo | 12 | 1 | 10 | 4 |
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Assat vs TPS Turku - Hockey Prediction & Betting Tips
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