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Expected score: Jukurit 2-3 Ilves
Ilves host Jukurit in a Liiga matchup on 24 October 2026, with the league leaders looking to extend their advantage over a fourth-placed side in strong form. Ilves sit top with 28 points from 14 games, while Jukurit occupy fourth on 27 points from 15 matches. Both teams arrive with momentum, but their recent trajectories tell different stories about where the advantage lies.
Team form
Jukurit
Ilves have been the standout performers in the league, winning four of their last five games. They scored 19 goals across that run while conceding 10, averaging 3.8 per game offensively. Their most recent outing saw them lose 1-2 away at Vaasan Sport, a rare stumble that snapped a three-game winning streak. Before that defeat, they had beaten Kiekko-Espoo 6-4 at home and won 3-2 against Jukurit on 29 September, demonstrating their ability to score freely and find ways past strong opposition.
Ilves
Jukurit have recovered well from an inconsistent start to their recent five-game sample, winning three of the last four. They opened that stretch with back-to-back defeats—0-4 to KalPa and 1-4 to Hameenlinna—but have since strung together victories over Vaasan Sport (4-0), IFK Helsinki (3-1), and TPS Turku (4-1). Across all five games they scored 12 and conceded 10, averaging 2.4 goals for and 2.0 against. Their defensive record has tightened in recent wins, though their offensive output remains variable.
Head-to-head
These sides met on 29 September, with Ilves winning 3-2 at home. That result sits within Ilves' recent run of strong performances and suggests they have the measure of Jukurit in direct competition.
Key factors
Ilves' offensive firepower stands out: 3.8 goals per game over five matches is substantially higher than Jukurit's 2.4. The hosts also hold the head-to-head advantage from their September meeting. Jukurit's resilience in defence—conceding 2.0 per game—offers some protection, but Ilves' league-leading position reflects their consistency across both phases. The away side's recent form is encouraging, yet Ilves' home record and superior goal-scoring rate give them the edge in this fixture. Ilves' sole recent setback came on the road; at home, they have been prolific and difficult to break down.
Prediction
Jukurit are the favourite to take the win, with a 60% chance of emerging victorious. The model expects a close, open contest: Ilves are projected to score 2.3 goals and Jukurit 2.8. Despite the hosts' superior recent form and home advantage, Jukurit's fourth-place standing, recent upturn in results, and the tightness of the league at the top make them slight favourites. The predicted scoreline of 2-3 reflects a competitive match in which both teams find the back of the net multiple times.
Expect a fairly competitive game between two sides separated by just one point in the standings. Ilves bring superior offensive credentials and home ice, while Jukurit arrive with momentum and a defensive record that has improved in recent weeks. The margin is narrow, and both teams should create chances. Jukurit's recent form and the statistical balance of the matchup give them the edge, but this is far from a foregone conclusion.
Match info
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League
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 30 | |
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 29 | |
| 3 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 28 | |
| 4 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 28 | |
| 5 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 28 | |
| 6 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 27 | |
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 27 | |
| 8 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 24 | |
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 23 | |
| 10 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 23 | |
| 11 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 21 | |
| 12 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 19 | |
| 13 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 19 | |
| 14 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 16 | |
| 15 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 15 | |
| 16 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 11 | |
| 17 | 16 | 1 | 12 | 7 |
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Ilves vs Jukurit - Hockey Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Ilves vs Jukurit hockey prediction on 365sport.tv analyzes power play effectiveness, penalty kill success rates and goaltending matchups. Our statistical model evaluates home-ice advantage, even-strength goal-scoring efficiency, penalty minute accumulation patterns and goalie performance metrics across different game situations.
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