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Expected score: Pelicans 1-2 Tappara
Pelicans host Tappara in a Liiga clash that looks destined to be decided by the finest of margins. Both sides are locked in a mid-table struggle with identical records over their last five games—5 wins and 6 losses each—and neither has pulled clear of the pack. The visitors arrive with a one-point advantage in the standings, but the gap between these teams is so narrow that form and fixture detail matter far more than league position.
Team form
Pelicans
Pelicans have won twice in five but the wins came early in the sequence; their last three outings have all ended in defeat. Against JYP and Jukurit they conceded 3 goals in each game, suggesting defensive lapses when under pressure. The bright spot was a 2-0 shutout against KalPa, but that now feels like an outlier. Over the five-game run they've scored just 1.6 per game while leaking 2.0, a ratio that leaves little room for error at home.
Tappara
Tappara's form is harder to pin down because it swings wildly. They hammered Jokerit 6-0 but then shipped 4 goals to both TPS Turku and Rögle, suggesting they can be fragile defensively when things go wrong. They did beat Pelicans 3-2 in their last meeting on 15 September, a result that should give them confidence, though Pelicans were only two goals down—hardly a dominant performance. Tappara's 2.2 goals per game average is marginally better than Pelicans' 1.6, but they're also conceding at the same rate they're scoring, which is a warning sign.
Head-to-head
No head-to-head history is available beyond the recent Liiga fixture on 15 September, which Tappara won 3-2 at home. That single data point offers limited insight into how this rematch will unfold.
Key factors
Pelicans' defensive record at home will be tested by a Tappara side that can score in bursts but has shown vulnerability. Tappara's recent 3-2 win over Pelicans suggests they have the tactical measure of the hosts, yet that margin was narrow enough to flip either way. The absence of a clear pattern in either team's recent results—both have mixed wins and losses without obvious momentum—means this looks like a genuine 50-50 proposition. Pelicans need to tighten their defence after three straight losses; Tappara need to prove their big wins aren't followed by collapses.
Prediction
The statistical picture points to a match too tight to separate. Both teams average around 2 goals per game and have nearly identical defensive records over their last five outings. Tappara's marginal advantage in the standings and their recent head-to-head win offer a fractional lean, but Pelicans at home cannot be discounted. The expected goal difference is negligible, and the predicted scoreline reflects the knife-edge nature of the contest. This is the kind of fixture where a single mistake or moment of individual quality decides it.
Tappara edge this as the pick, but only by the slimmest of margins. The match is too close to call with any confidence. Expect a low-scoring, tight affair where both sides will have chances but neither will dominate. A one-goal margin either way would not surprise, and the outcome could easily have gone the other way.
Match info
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League
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 30 | |
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 29 | |
| 3 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 28 | |
| 4 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 28 | |
| 5 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 28 | |
| 6 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 27 | |
| 7 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 27 | |
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 27 | |
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 23 | |
| 10 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 23 | |
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 21 | |
| 12 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 19 | |
| 13 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 19 | |
| 14 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 16 | |
| 15 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 15 | |
| 16 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 11 | |
| 17 | 16 | 1 | 12 | 7 |
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Pelicans vs Tappara - Hockey Prediction & Betting Tips
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