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TPS Turku vs Lukko Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 24-10-2026
Oct 2414:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Lukko 1-2 TPS Turku
LukkoDrawTPS Turku
TPS Turku host Lukko in a Liiga clash that pits the third-placed visitor against a seventh-placed home side still searching for consistency. Both teams have played 14 games; Lukko hold a three-point advantage in the standings, but TPS Turku's recent scoring form demands attention.
Team form
Lukko
TPS Turku have found their rhythm in front of goal. Over their last five outings, they scored 17 goals at 3.4 per game, including a 5-1 home win over IFK Helsinki and a 4-2 victory against Jokerit in a friendly. Their defensive record over the same stretch is solid at 1.8 goals conceded per game. The one blemish came away at Vaasan Sport, where they lost 1-2, but the overall trajectory suggests an attack firing on multiple cylinders.
TPS Turku
Lukko's form is more fractured. They have won twice in their last five—a 3-1 away victory at Hameenlinna and a commanding 7-2 home demolition of Jokerit—but losses to JYP (0-5), Ilves (0-2), and Vaasan Sport (1-2) reveal defensive vulnerabilities. Over five games they conceded 12 goals at 2.4 per game, a concerning rate for a third-placed side. Their attack has managed 2.2 goals per game, respectable but not dominant.
Head-to-head
No head-to-head record exists between these teams in the available data, so this matchup offers no historical precedent to guide expectations.
Key factors
The standout factor is TPS Turku's offensive potency. Averaging 3.4 goals per game in recent weeks, they present a genuine threat to a Lukko defence that has shipped five and two goals in consecutive outings. Lukko's strength lies in their league position and their ability to score in bursts—the seven-goal haul against Jokerit proves they can explode—but consistency remains elusive. Home advantage traditionally favours TPS Turku, yet Lukko's ranking suggests they are the better-drilled unit on paper. The question is whether Lukko's defensive frailties will be exposed by a TPS Turku side in form, or whether Lukko's quality will assert itself on the road.
Prediction
TPS Turku's recent scoring rate and home-ice advantage make them competitive, but Lukko's league position and experience in tight contests edge them as the favourite. The model reflects a close affair with Lukko holding the edge, despite TPS Turku's superior offensive metrics in the last five games. Lukko's defensive lapses are a concern, yet their ability to respond after setbacks and their placement in the top three suggest they will find a way in a tight contest.
Lukko are the more likely winner in what should be a competitive encounter. Back the visitors to secure the points, though expect TPS Turku to make them work for it.
Match info
Tournaments:
Liiga(2026)
Type
League
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
TPS Turku
W
W
W
W
L
Lukko
W
W
W
L
W
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Jukurit | 16 | 8 | 5 | 30 |
| 2 |  Lukko | 15 | 8 | 4 | 29 |
| 3 |  Ilves | 15 | 8 | 5 | 28 |
| 4 |  Assat | 16 | 8 | 5 | 28 |
| 5 |  SaiPa | 14 | 7 | 3 | 28 |
| 6 |  TPS Turku | 15 | 8 | 5 | 27 |
| 7 |  JYP | 13 | 8 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 |  Karpat | 16 | 5 | 3 | 27 |
| 9 |  Kiekko-Espoo | 16 | 6 | 6 | 23 |
| 10 |  Tappara | 15 | 6 | 6 | 23 |
| 11 |  Hameenlinna | 16 | 5 | 8 | 21 |
| 12 |  Pelicans | 13 | 6 | 6 | 19 |
| 13 |  Vaasan Sport | 14 | 5 | 6 | 19 |
| 14 |  KalPa | 13 | 5 | 7 | 16 |
| 15 |  IFK Helsinki | 14 | 3 | 6 | 15 |
| 16 |  Jokerit | 15 | 2 | 9 | 11 |
| 17 |  KooKoo | 16 | 1 | 12 | 7 |
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TPS Turku vs Lukko - Hockey Prediction & Betting Tips
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