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Expected score: Calgary Flames 2-3 Detroit Red Wings
Calgary Flames travel to Detroit on Sunday in an NHL matchup between two teams struggling early in the 2026 season. The Flames sit 16th with 4 points from 8 games, while Detroit occupies 13th with 9 points from 9 matches. Both sides have won just twice so far, but the Red Wings' superior record and home advantage make them the favourites in this contest.
Team form
Calgary Flames
Detroit has taken 9 points from their opening 9 games with a 2-3-4 record. Their recent stretch shows inconsistency: they beat Philadelphia 2-1 and Ottawa 5-3 at home, but lost to Seattle 3-6, Winnipeg 2-3, and New York 0-2. Over their last five outings, Detroit scored 12 goals and conceded 15, averaging 2.4 goals for and 3.0 against per game. The shutout loss to the Rangers is concerning, but the 5-3 win over Ottawa demonstrates they can put together an offensive performance when it clicks.
Detroit Red Wings
Calgary's record of 2-6 from 8 games reflects a difficult opening month. They managed a 4-2 win at Anaheim on October 14th, but have otherwise struggled: losses to Vegas 2-6, Anaheim 2-4, Colorado 3-7, and Seattle 1-6 dominate their recent resume. Over five games, the Flames have scored 12 goals but conceded 25, a 5.0-per-game average that ranks among the league's worst. They have surrendered six goals twice in this stretch, suggesting defensive frailties that Detroit's attack should be positioned to exploit.
Head-to-head
No head-to-head history is available between these teams this season.
Key factors
The Flames' defence has been a major liability, conceding at a rate well above the Red Wings' output. Calgary's 5.0 goals-against average over their last five games is alarming; Detroit averages 3.0 in the same period. Offensively, both teams are producing at similar rates—2.4 goals per game each—but Detroit's home record (3-2 from five) gives them an edge. Calgary has won just once on the road in this stretch, and that came against a struggling Anaheim side. Detroit's ability to defend at home, combined with Calgary's leaky backline, suggests the Red Wings should control play and limit high-danger chances.
Prediction
Detroit enters as the favourite despite both teams' poor records. The Red Wings' home advantage, superior defensive record over the recent sample, and Calgary's alarming goal-against rate all point to a Detroit victory. The Flames' offence is functional but not prolific enough to overcome defensive vulnerabilities against a team that has shown it can score at home. Calgary's road form—1-4 in their last five away games—reinforces that this is a poor matchup for the visitors.
Detroit Red Wings are the more likely winner. The Red Wings should prevail in what figures to be a low-scoring affair, with Calgary's defensive struggles the decisive factor. Back Detroit on the moneyline.
Match info
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Statistics
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Recent Form
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 16 | |
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 15 | |
| 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 14 | |
| 5 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 13 | |
| 6 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 13 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| 8 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 11 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
| 10 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 9 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 8 | |
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 6 | |
| 14 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 5 | |
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 4 | |
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 4 | |
| 1 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 17 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 17 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 15 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 14 | |
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 14 | |
| 6 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 12 | |
| 7 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 12 | |
| 8 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 12 | |
| 9 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 11 | |
| 10 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 10 | |
| 11 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 10 | |
| 12 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 10 | |
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| 14 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 9 | |
| 15 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| 16 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
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