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Expected score: TPS Turku 2-1 Pelicans
TPS Turku host Pelicans in a Liiga clash that pits a resurgent mid-table side against a struggling visitor. The hosts sit eighth with 27 points from 17 games, while Pelicans occupy 11th with 21 points from 14 matches. TPS have found their rhythm in recent weeks and will be favoured to extend that run at home.
Team form
TPS Turku
TPS Turku have won three of their last five Liiga outings, scoring 17 goals across that span—3.4 per game—while conceding just 9. The only blemish came on the road at Vaasan Sport, where they fell 1-2. At home, they have been particularly potent: victories over IFK Helsinki (5-1) and KooKoo (4-2) showcase an attack that is clicking. That offensive firepower, combined with a defence that has tightened considerably, positions them as the clear threat in this fixture.
Pelicans
Pelicans are in freefall. They have lost three of their last five league games, conceding 10 goals across those five matches—2.0 per game—while managing only 8 goals in return. Recent defeats to JYP (1-3), Jukurit (1-3) and Tappara (2-3) reveal a side struggling to generate offence and vulnerable at the back. Their two wins came against KalPa and Kiekko-Espoo, but the overall trajectory is downward. Travelling to a hot opponent will present a formidable test.
Head-to-head
No head-to-head record exists between these teams in the available data, so this matchup offers no historical precedent to lean on.
Key factors
TPS's home-ice advantage is material: they have won decisively in their recent domestic fixtures at this venue. Pelicans' defensive frailty—conceding 2.0 per game over five outings—will be exposed against an offence averaging 3.4 goals. The hosts' ability to control play and limit chances will be crucial; Pelicans have shown they can be dangerous on the counter when given space, but they lack the consistency to sustain pressure. TPS's depth and form suggest they should dictate tempo and territory.
Prediction
The underlying metrics favour the hosts substantially. TPS are the superior team in both offensive output and defensive solidity over their recent samples. Pelicans arrive depleted in confidence and form, having won only two of their last five. The home-ice factor compounds TPS's advantage. While Pelicans are capable of scoring—they are not without threat—the weight of evidence points to a TPS victory. The expected goal balance favours the hosts, and their recent consistency in the Liiga gives them the edge in this matchup.
TPS Turku are strong favourites to take this fixture. Their recent form, home advantage and superior scoring rate make them the clear pick. Pelicans' defensive vulnerabilities and offensive struggles suggest they will struggle to keep pace. Back the hosts to secure a convincing victory.
Match info
Tournaments:
Type
League
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 35 | |
| 2 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 34 | |
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 32 | |
| 4 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 32 | |
| 5 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 30 | |
| 6 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 30 | |
| 7 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 28 | |
| 8 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 27 | |
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 24 | |
| 10 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 23 | |
| 11 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 22 | |
| 12 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 21 | |
| 13 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 21 | |
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 21 | |
| 15 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 19 | |
| 16 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 14 | |
| 17 | 17 | 1 | 13 | 7 |
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TPS Turku vs Pelicans - Hockey Prediction & Betting Tips
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