Third Period
Waterloo Black Hawks vs Dubuque Fighting Saints Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 31-10-2026
Oct 3120:05
2 : 1
Match Prediction
Expected score: Waterloo Black Hawks 4-3 Dubuque Fighting Saints
Waterloo Black HawksDrawDubuque Fighting Saints
Waterloo Black Hawks host Dubuque Fighting Saints on Halloween in a USHL matchup where the hosts' superior positioning should prove decisive. Waterloo sits second in the standings with a 6-1 record, while Dubuque languishes fourth at 5-6. The gap in quality is real, and this is a chance for the Hawks to reinforce their credentials.
Team form
Waterloo Black Hawks
Waterloo have won three of their last five, though a 2-6 loss to Madison Capitols on October 24 punctured their momentum. Before that setback, they looked sharp: back-to-back wins over Des Moines (2-1 and 5-0) showed they can both grind out tight results and dominate when given the chance. Over the five-game sample, they've scored 18 goals and conceded 12—that's 3.6 per game for and 2.4 against. Those numbers reflect a team that creates chances and, more importantly, defends with discipline. The loss to Madison was an outlier; the underlying pattern is one of control.
Dubuque Fighting Saints
Dubuque are a mess defensively. Five games in, they've shipped 21 goals—4.2 per game—while scoring 20 themselves. That's a team playing without a coherent system at the back. Yes, they beat USA U18 6-3, but they also lost to the same opponent twice (5-7 and 4-6). They lost 0-2 to Youngstown Phantoms at home. When you're conceding that freely against a USHL field, you're unlikely to be a playoff team, and travelling to face a side ranked above you presents a steep challenge.
Head-to-head
These teams met on October 2, with Waterloo winning 6-3 at home. That result sits fresh in Dubuque's recent record and tells you everything: when Waterloo gets rolling, Dubuque cannot keep pace. Dubuque have not shown they've corrected the defensive issues that cost them that game.
Key factors
Waterloo's league position and recent wins over Des Moines demonstrate they can execute a game plan. Dubuque's defensive fragility is the critical weakness here. When a team concedes 4.2 per game, they lose. Waterloo's 3.6 goals per game is more than enough to exploit that. The Hawks also have the psychological edge from their 6-3 win three weeks ago. From a betting perspective, Dubuque's inconsistency—winning and losing against the same opponent—signals a team lacking identity. Waterloo, by contrast, have shown they can win different ways.
Prediction
Waterloo should win this. They're better ranked, they've beaten Dubuque already this season, and their defensive record is significantly tighter. Dubuque's leaky backline will struggle to contain a Waterloo side that averages 3.6 goals per game. The Hawks are the clear favourites here, and the underlying metrics support a home victory. Expect Waterloo to control possession and create the clearer chances.
Back Waterloo Black Hawks. They are the stronger team in every measurable way—better record, better defence, better recent form against this opponent. Dubuque's defensive vulnerabilities make them an unattractive proposition on the road. The Hawks should win this.
Match info
Tournaments:
USHL(2026)
Type
League
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Waterloo Black Hawks
W
L
L
W
W
Dubuque Fighting Saints
W
W
W
L
L
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Waterloo Black Hawks | 11 | 7 | 1 | 18 |
| 2 |  Tri-City Storm | 12 | 8 | 3 | 18 |
| 3 |  Fargo Force | 13 | 9 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 |  Sioux Falls Stampede | 16 | 9 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 |  Des Moines Buccaneers | 13 | 7 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 |  Omaha Lancers | 11 | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 |  Lincoln Stars | 12 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 8 |  Sioux City | 12 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 1 |  Cedar Rapids | 14 | 10 | 4 | 20 |
| 2 |  Muskegon Lumberjacks | 13 | 5 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 |  Chicago Steel | 10 | 4 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 |  Dubuque Fighting Saints | 12 | 5 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 |  Madison Capitols | 10 | 3 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Youngstown Phantoms | 12 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 |  USA U18 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 8 |
| 8 |  Green Bay Gamblers | 12 | 2 | 9 | 6 |
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Waterloo Black Hawks vs Dubuque Fighting Saints - Hockey Prediction & Betting Tips
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